The Effects of Welfare Policy and the Economic Expansion on Welfare Caseloads

The Effects of Welfare Policy and the Economic Expansion on Welfare Caseloads: An Update

August 3, 1999

A Report by the Council of Economic Advisers

Summary Report | Technical Report


This study could not have been completed without the generous assistance of the Department of Health and Human Services in providing data and program information.

The Effects of Welfare Policy and the
Economic Expansion on Welfare Caseloads: An Update

Executive Summary

This study investigates the causes behind recent changes in welfare caseloads, updating a 1997 CEA report of caseload change.

The large sustained declines in caseloads provide one piece of evidence about the effectiveness of welfare reform efforts. However, there are multiple indicators of the impact of welfare reform, including changes in work and earnings among welfare leavers, in marriage rates and out-of-wedlock pregnancies, and in poverty rates. The Clinton Administration is collecting and tracking information on all of these measures in order to fully assess the impact of welfare reform.


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