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THE ROLE OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY IN
SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AND PREVENTIVE DIPLOMACY
A White Paper
Prepared for the White House Forum on the Role of
Science and Technology in Promoting National
Security and Global Stability
March 29 - 30, 1995
National Academy of Sciences
Since the end of the Second World War, national security
concerns have greatly influenced
federal support for science and technology. During the 1980's,
for example, defense-related
R&D accounted for 65% of the federal research budget. In the
post-Cold War era, the new
tenets of U.S. foreign policy - building democracy, maintaining
peace, promoting economic
growth and sustainable development, addressing global problems,
and providing humanitarian
assistance - reflect a new, broader definition of national
security. This document provides a
brief overview of global threats that affect the nation's
security, such as environmental
degradation, explosive population growth, new and re-emerging
diseases, drug trafficking
and crime. Further, it describes the critical role of science
and technology in understanding
and overcoming these threats. Finally, it offers examples of the
U.S. Government's science
and technology priorities, policies, and programs that respond to
these new national security
concerns.
The Nature and Importance of Global Threats
The importance of global threats is reflected in the Clinton
Administration's 1995 National
Security Strategy of Engagement and Enlargement:
"The more clearly we understand the complex
interrelationships between the
different parts of our world's environment, the better we
can understand the
regional and even global effects of local changes to the
environment. Increasing
competition for the dwindling reserves of uncontaminated
air, arable land,
fisheries and other food sources, and water, once considered
"free" goods, is
already a very real risk to regional stability around the
world. The range of
environmental risks serious enough to jeopardize
international stability extends to
massive population flight from man-made or natural
catastrophes, such as
Chernobyl or the East African drought, and to large-scale
ecosystem damage
caused by industrial pollution, deforestation, loss of
biodiversity, ozone depletion,
desertification, ocean pollution and ultimately climate
change.
Rapid population growth in the developing world and
unsustainable consumption
patterns in industrialized nations are the root of both
present and potentially
even greater forms of environmental degradation and resource
depletion. A
conservative estimate of the globe's population projects 8.5
billion people on the
planet by the year 2025. Even when making the most generous
allowances for
advances in science and technology, one cannot help but
conclude that population
growth and environmental pressures will feed into immense
social unrest and make
the world substantially more vulnerable to serious
international frictions."
America is not isolated from the consequences of harmful
transnational phenomena. Even a
small change in the Earth's climate, for instance, would disrupt
the life and livelihood of our
nation through changing sea levels and major perturbations in
temperature and precipitation
patterns. Similarly, increases in ultraviolet solar radiation,
or outbreaks of new infectious
diseases, could endanger the health of Americans, even if the
root causes of the problems
lay in distant parts of the world. The tragedy of HIV/AIDS has
already made this clear.
The international drug trade ruins the lives of people
throughout the world, and disrupts civil
society in our cities as well as cities and villages in South
Asia and Latin America.
Terrorism, which can strike in New York as well as in Bombay,
destroys not just human
lives, but the foundations of the rule of law.
The threats of global warming, ozone depletion, ocean
pollution and coastal degradation are
just some of the phenomena that have made concern for the
environment into a global issue.
The explosive growth of the world's population is of primary
importance. Recent history has
shown that, in some developing countries, even the most
impressive gains in total economic
output can be offset by rapid population growth. Population
pressures already contribute to
violent disorder and mass dislocations in resource-poor
societies. Some of the resulting
refugees come from nearby countries, while others -
refugees-in-waiting - pose a long-term
threat to the integrity of nations and to global stability.
Individually or collectively, threats such as these can lead
to the destabilization of countries
in the developing world, or the emergence of rogue states, posing
a direct threat to U.S. security through terrorist acts, the drug trade, or the
disruption of access to vital economic
resources. Regional or civil conflicts, caused in part by
environmental stress, could involve
the U.S. in costly and hazardous military interventions or
peacekeeping exercises. A prudent
investment in preventing such conflicts could be cost-effective,
while addressing humanitarian
needs. Recent events illustrate this point: in Rwanda, ethnic
conflict exploded into horrifying
massacres in a country that was experiencing soaring population
growth, environmental
degradation, and inequalities in the distribution of resources.
The donor community spent a
billion dollars in 1994 responding to the Rwanda crisis, an
expense that exceeded the yearly
outlay in U.S. development assistance for the entire African
Continent.
Preventive Diplomacy
The Clinton Administration emphasizes support for democracy,
sustainable development,
traditional diplomacy and military strength to prevent conflicts
from escalating into violence,
and to contain conflicts that do occur. This strategy defines
the practice of preventive
diplomacy. When combined with timely early warning systems, and
a commitment to use
the warning information, preventive diplomacy is a wise
investment in national security,
offering the prospect of resolving problems with the least human
and material cost. The tools
of social science will be required to identify the most
significant variables involved in
producing conflicts, and information technologies will be needed
to detect changes in these
variables and to provide early warning. Such a strategy
inherently embraces the notion of
preventing global threats before they occur, and thus requires
discipline in its
implementation, since its successes will often have to be
measured in terms of undesirable
events that do not happen.
As part of its prevention strategy, the Administration is
responding to the challenge of
global security threats through vigorous promotion of sustainable
development, both at home
and abroad. Sustainable development requires that the economies
of the world, including our
own, try to meet contemporary needs without compromising the
resources available to future
generations.
The Role of Science and Technology
Science helps us to understand the origins, characteristics and
consequences of global
problems. Finding solutions to these problems, and elucidating
the complex chains of cause
and effect through which they may be linked, requires a
coordinated effort by natural and
social scientists, engineers, and policy-makers. American
leadership in science and
technology, which responds to this challenge, is therefore an
important element of our
national security. As science plays an ever-increasing role,
however, scientists must remain
true to the fundamental principles of objectivity and
impartiality.
In some cases, research and monitoring programs offer the only
substantial warning to
government officials and to the public of an emerging problem.
For example, through the
use of remote sensing, we continue to accumulate an invaluable
record of the state and
evolution of the basic components of our biosphere. Such
observations and measurements,
coupled with the development of predictive quantitative models,
are essential tools for policy-
making in the post-Cold War security environment.
Transforming scientific breakthroughs into new technologies
can have a profound impact on
development, but wise stewardship of these technologies is
essential. One challenge of
sustainable development is to use technology in such a way that
it balances advances in
productivity with long-term resource viability. For example,
technology helped bring about
the Green Revolution, which resulted in increased agricultural
productivity worldwide. But
at the same time, poorly designed irrigation systems led to soil
degradation in some areas.
In the decades ahead, technology will be called upon to feed a
growing world population,
with minimum impact on the integrity of soil, water, forests, and
other resources.
American scientific and technological leadership can be
strengthened through international
cooperation. Some of today's most difficult challenges cannot be
solved by the United States
(or any country) acting alone. During a time of severe budgetary
constraints, some projects
are too costly for any one nation. Sometimes the work must be
done in situ, for example in
assessing and preserving biodiversity, or monitoring disease
outbreaks. Other issues
naturally invite collaboration because of unique foreign
expertise or facilities. Cooperation
builds bridges among nations, sometimes even when no other
avenues are available. An
effective way to promote sustainable practices globally is
through partnership in research
among developed and developing countries. A global community of
scholars, united by a
shared understanding of scientific methodology and
responsibility, and linked via modern
telecommunication networks, can be a positive force for promoting
international stability,
democracy and economic development.
A National Response to Global Threats
In November 1993, President Clinton established a cabinet-level
National Science and
Technology Council (NSTC) to coordinate S&T policies throughout
the federal government.
To prepare coordinated R&D strategies and budget recommendations
for accomplishing
national goals, the NSTC established nine R&D coordinating
committees, including
committees on: International Science, Engineering, and
Technology; Health, Safety and Food
R&D; and Environment and Natural Resources Research.
An example of the coordinating role of these NSTC committees
is provided by the
Committee on International Science, Engineering, and Technology
(CISET). One of
CISET s goals is to use American leadership in science and
technology to address global
issues, and to support the post-Cold War tenets of U.S. foreign
policy. To this end, CISET
is addressing the following subjects: (1) International R&D for
population stabilization; (2)
R&D for international food security and nutrition; and (3)
Emerging and re-emerging
infectious diseases. For example, CISET is considering ways to
strengthen the international
surveillance capacity for detecting and responding to outbreaks
of infectious diseases.
The NSTC Committee on Environment and Natural Resources
Research (CENR) is
coordinating interagency programs and is focusing environmental
and natural resources R&D
on those problems that directly impact our economy and health.
CENR has called for
enhanced emphasis on evaluating the socioeconomic driving forces
of environmental change,
understanding its consequences, developing adaptation and
mitigation options, and conducting
integrated assessments. Important ongoing activities include
research on climate variability
and change, stratospheric ozone and ultraviolet radiation,
sustainable ecosystem productivity,
and environmental technologies for pollution avoidance and
remediation.
A number of government agencies engage in international S&T
collaborations, many of
which are designed to address foreign policy and security issues
while simultaneously
contributing to individual agencies domestic missions. Below is
a brief description of a
selection of agency programs that are relevant to achieving
global stability:
The Department of State has a broad policy role, acting as
the coordinator of U.S.
Government positions on international environmental and S&T
policy, and ensuring that the
United States is working with other governments to address global
threats. The most
important vehicle for this is through the negotiation of
agreements dealing with threats such
as stratospheric ozone layer depletion, climate change,
transboundary air and water pollution,
and natural resource degradation. For example, one of the most
important agreements of
recent years was the conclusion of the Montreal Protocol on
Depletion of the Stratospheric
Ozone Layer in the late 1980's. Under this agreement, the
countries of the world have
agreed to take steps to stop producing chemicals which damage the
ozone layer.
The Department is also active in international efforts to
develop new technologies that can
address threats facing the globe. The Department oversees over
600 international S&T
cooperative agreements which provide U.S. researchers with access
to foreign technologies in
areas such as energy efficiency, renewable energy, agriculture,
health, and environmental
clean-up. The Department also helps coordinate U.S. participation
in major international
S&T programs, such as the International Space Station and the
global effort to monitor and
understand the earth's climate, and to determine the effect of
human activities.
The United States Agency for International Development
(USAID) has developed five
Strategies for Sustainable Development. All use S&T to varying
degrees to address
destabilizing factors in developing countries. Stabilizing world
population growth and
protecting human health: To address these complex problems a
variety of programs have
been designed to improve family planning options; enhance the
reproductive health of
women; promote maternal and child health; and reduce the spread
of HIV/AIDS. Research
and development efforts supportive of these programs have led to
the development of new
and improved family planning products and methods such as oral
contraceptives, IUDs, and
NORPLANT ; development of oral rehydration solutions, vitamin A
therapies, HIV
dipsticks, vaccine heatmarkers, single-dose syringes, and
ground-breaking understanding of
acute respiratory infections in children. Protecting the
environment: This involves reducing
long-term threats to the global environment while addressing
current environmental and
economic practices that are unsustainable and impede development.
R&D activities include
improving carbon sequestration analysis, evaluating the
environmental impacts of various
trade and macroeconomic policies, biodiversity prospecting,
reclamation of degraded lands,
and improved management of coastal environments. Encouraging
broad-based economic
growth: Efforts are concentrated in three areas - strengthening
markets, expanding economic
opportunities for the less-advantaged, and investing in people by
building human skills and
capacities. Understanding the constraints to economic growth in
developing and transitional
countries is sought through research on labor markets, pension
reform and relevant policies.
In the many developing countries with agrarian economies,
agricultural R&D plays a
significant role, offering new and better crop varieties as well
as more sustainable means of
production. Building democracy: To achieve the objectives of
promoting the transition to,
and consolidation of, democratic regimes throughout the world,
R&D seeks to identify
locally relevant ways of ensuring that the populace is informed,
and that civic societies are
able to flourish. Providing effective humanitarian assistance:
This clearly depends on
technological systems that alert to impending natural disasters,
and on S&T to provide
methods for mitigating and recovering from natural and man-made
crises.
The Department of Agriculture (USDA) maintains the
Agricultural Research Service (ARS)
to build a successful S&T base, and to pursue technology transfer
and commercialization.
To achieve international food security and enhanced nutrition,
agricultural transformation is
essential worldwide. ARS s portfolio reflects the mounting
public interest in green
consumerism - safe, healthful, products that are benign to the
environment, such as
biological control agents (to replace chemical pesticides),
bioplastics, natural food additives,
paints and cosmetics. The potential for non-food agriproducts to
contribute to international
food security is an important part of the ARS agenda, since
agriculture provides many raw
materials for food processing and other industries. Value-added
activities, especially when
linked with productivity gains, can provide important sources of
income and employment,
on- and off-farm. Post-harvest processing, prevention of losses
and many other income-
generating activities can contribute to food security. The USDA,
together with U.S.
universities and international institutions collaborate actively
in these areas. An example of
ARS technologies that are appropriate to rural economies is the
development of a safe natural
rubber latex for biomedical and other consumer product
applications. Rubber allergies affect
millions of people, but ARS has developed a nonallergenic rubber
using a domestic plant
species that is well-adapted to desert areas. Licensing of this
technology is already under
way.
The Department of Energy (DOE) is a major science and
technology agency which continues
to encourage the development and application of state-of-the-art
approaches to energy
utilization both domestically and worldwide. These approaches
include the more efficient
utilization of conventional energy sources, along with greater
reliance on renewables. In the
international arena, DOE has been successful in establishing
relationships with major
developing countries such as China and India that provide for
technology transfer to promote
sustainable development and to help slow the rate of carbon
emissions. Focusing on the
developing countries is critical since they have accounted for
most of the growth in
worldwide energy consumption and carbon emissions over the past
two decades. DOE is also
a significant force behind the United States Initiative on Joint
Implementation (USIJI). USIJI
is a pilot program under which efforts are undertaken between
American organizations and
their counterparts in a host country, leading to cooperative
development projects to reduce
greenhouse gas emissions. Such efforts not only offer the
potential for expanded markets for
domestic technologies, but they provide for a more cost-effective
approach to addressing
climate change and promoting sustainable development. Joint
implementation could further
spur technology cooperation, thereby increasing developing
countries' access to energy-
efficient and renewable energy technologies, including providing
countries with additional
operational capability, while stimulating export markets for
industrialized countries.
The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) and the
agencies of the Public Health
Service (PHS) (Agency for Health Care Policy and Research,
Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention, Food and Drug Administration, Health Resources
and Services
Administration, Indian Health Service, National Institutes of
Health, Substance Abuse and
Mental Health Services Administration) address a wide range of
health protection and
promotion problems that require scientifically-based solutions.
The PHS agencies also
address global health issues, both as an integral part of their
domestic programs, and in
cooperation with other countries (bilaterally and in multilateral
organizations).
The PHS agencies are engaged in basic and applied research in
key areas that are relevant to
national security and global stability. These include, but are
not limited to, HIV/AIDS and
other emerging and re-emerging diseases; women's health and
family planning; maternal and
child health; environmental health; nutrition; substance abuse
and demand reduction; and
consumer security related to food, drugs and medical devices.
The CDC, in collaboration with health agencies and infectious
disease experts at community,
national and international levels, have developed a prevention
strategy to address threats to
health from emerging infectious diseases. The plan has four areas
of focus--capacity for
detection and control of new, re-emerging, and drug-resistant
infectious diseases; integrated
laboratory and epidemiological applied research; enhanced
communication of health
information; and strengthening public health infrastructures.
NIH s Fogarty International Center (FIC) is committed to
mobilizing international research
efforts against global health threats. FIC currently sponsors
the AIDS International Research
and Training Program which ensures that a highly-trained cohort
of investigators is available
in key parts of the world to work with U.S. scientists on
HIV/AIDS and related infectious
diseases. In FY95, FIC initiated two new programs: one
supporting population-related
sciences, the other advancing environmental and occupational
health sciences. These
programs, combined with the activities of other federal agencies,
are intended to improve
national and regional capabilities which will, ultimately, reduce
the need for U.S. assistance.
The Food and Drug Administration plays an often unrecognized
role in strengthening
capacities of countries to ensure the security of food and
medical supplies. Assessment of
risks, regulatory review and approval of products, investigative
and monitoring activities,
and applied research are some of the routine FDA functions. To
accomplish its consumer
protection mission domestically, FDA shares its expertise,
principles, policies, methods and
regulations with other governments and with multilateral
organizations. A good example of
international FDA cooperation with broader security implications
is assistance to Russia to
help improve that country s infrastructure for quality control
and regulation of drugs and
vaccines.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
aims to describe and predict
changes in the Earth's environment, and to conserve and manage
wisely the nation's coastal
and marine resources to ensure sustainable economic
opportunities. The U.S. has made
important strides in understanding and predicting the behavior of
natural systems, managing
resources more effectively, and in improving environmental
quality. NOAA's role is to
predict environmental changes in time and space, protect life and
property, provide decision-
makers with reliable scientific information, and foster global
environmental stewardship.
International cooperation is essential to achieving NOAA's
mission. The very nature of the
oceans and the atmosphere requires international cooperation:
sharing the responsibility for
observations and data gathering, working together to understand
and address challenges such
as global change, climate variability, natural disasters, ozone
depletion, the increasing
pressures on oceans, and marine and coastal resources. An
example of this process is the
success of international efforts to identify, understand and
predict climatic variations such as
El Nino. Throughout the world, periodic drought, flooding, and
unanticipated severe storms
have major implications in terms of lost lives, devastating
environmental emergencies, and
the social and economic impacts associated with agricultural
production, water management,
energy supplies, and migration of affected populations.
No one nation has the resources to supply all the observations
to address its own needs, not
to mention the needs of the world community. With its
international partners, NOAA is
working to overcome observational deficiencies, correlate
satellite and in situ data sets, and
establish common data formats and network interconnectivity to
benefit not only the United
States but all of the world s countries.
The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)
conducts research into problems
of flight within and outside the Earth's atmosphere, and pursues
activities in space that serve
peaceful purposes for the benefit of all humankind. Using the
unique vantage point of space,
NASA scientists and their colleagues around the world are
engaging in long-term monitoring
of the planet Earth, studying it as a single, global environment.
Data from the Mission to
Planet Earth program will help determine how this environment
changes and how human
beings contribute to those changes.
The International Space Station, the largest international
scientific and technological endeavor
ever undertaken, is being built in the factories and laboratories
of thirteen nations. With the
Space Station, a permanent laboratory will be established in a
realm where gravity,
temperature and pressure can be manipulated for a wide variety of
scientific and engineering
pursuits which are impossible to conduct in ground-based
laboratories. The Space Station
will be a testbed for the technologies of the future, and a
laboratory for research on advanced
industrial materials, communications technology, and medical
products and procedures.
NASA's life sciences research focuses on the role of gravity
in shaping living systems. The
results are being used to ensure the health and safety of space
crews and to improve the
health and quality of life of people on Earth. NASA's
microgravity research program
reveals important physical, chemical, and biological processes
that are obscured by gravity
on Earth, and that provide insights on biotechnology, combustion
science, gravitational
physics, fluid physics, and materials science.
The National Science Foundation (NSF) supports fundamental
science and engineering
research by U.S. investigators on natural and human phenomena
that are closely linked to
sustainable development and other issues relating to global
stability. Examples of NSF-
supported research include: atmospheric and ocean science
research on global and regional
climate phenomena; life sciences research on ecology and
biodiversity; environmental
chemistry and biotechnology; research in plant biology and plant
biotechnology with
agricultural applications; fundamental biological research on the
nature of diseases and on
reproductive health; social science research on the anthropogenic
dimensions of global
climate change; geosciences and structural engineering research
on earthquakes and other
natural and man-made disasters; economic research on transitions
to market-based
economies; political science research on the process of
democratization; research on
population growth and migration; engineering research on
environmentally conscious
manufacturing; polar research on atmospheric, environmental and
biological phenomena; and
policy-related work in such areas as risk analysis,
decision-making, and the impact of science
and technology on society.
The NSF is also actively involved in the maintenance of the
international infrastructure for
cooperation in science and engineering research, ranging from
bilateral research programs
with science and engineering agencies in other countries, to
providing support for multilateral
programs and organizations such as the International Council of
Scientific Unions (ICSU),
the Human Frontier Science Program, and the International
Institute for Applied Systems
Analysis. Most of these multilateral arrangements include
significant participation of
developing countries.
Technology Leadership to Strengthen Economic and National Security
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